Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Dach 41.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 67.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Mittelstadt
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Mittelstadt
Dach
Last 7: Mittelstadt 4-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Dach
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Dach
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
38.5% (213)
+6.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
33.3% (9)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
40.0% (5)
+0.6%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Dach
Home
45.1% (366)
38.8% (147)
Away
46.8% (370)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Dach
P1
41.1%
36.3%
P2
51.1%
40.0%
P3
45.9%
40.0%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |