Casey Mittelstadt vs Mark Kastelic
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 54.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
55.4% (345)
-10.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
50.0% (4)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
35.3% (17)
+4.7%
On even strength, Kastelic has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
Home
46.0% (491)
50.6% (162)
Away
42.4% (512)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Kastelic
P1
44.0%
61.5%
P2
46.4%
52.8%
P3
41.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |