Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Barzal 41.4% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
40.4% (456)
+11.2%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
34.2% (38)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
60.7% (89)
38.0% (242)
Away
43.1% (65)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
46.3%
46.6%
P2
52.9%
35.4%
P3
58.6%
38.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%