Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Barzal 42.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Mittelstadt
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
41.9% (3,565)
+3.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
43.4% (205)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
42.3% (26)
-4.8%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
46.7% (2,316)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
46.8%
40.7%
P2
46.1%
44.4%
P3
44.0%
41.0%
OT
36.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |