Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Barzal 41.4% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
40.4% (463)
+10.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
34.2% (38)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
59.3% (91)
38.1% (244)
Away
42.5% (80)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
48.8%
46.6%
P2
49.1%
35.7%
P3
56.7%
37.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%