Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Barzal 44.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 61.8%
Neutral zone
Barzal 60.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
3
Mittelstadt
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
43.3% (314)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
45.5% (33)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
47.3% (224)
39.9% (168)
Away
50.7% (217)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
51.8%
39.0%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
44.9%
43.3%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |