Casey Mittelstadt vs Matty Beniers
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Beniers 49.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Mittelstadt
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
48.8% (647)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
53.8% (26)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (32)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Home
60.7% (89)
52.7% (357)
Away
43.1% (65)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Beniers
P1
46.3%
47.9%
P2
52.9%
51.9%
P3
58.6%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |