Casey Mittelstadt vs Matty Beniers
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Beniers 47.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 68.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 65.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Last 6: Mittelstadt 0-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Mittelstadt
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Mittelstadt
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
3
Mittelstadt
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
48.3% (1,050)
-3.6%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
42.9% (105)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.6% (39)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Beniers
Home
46.0% (491)
48.7% (630)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Beniers
P1
44.0%
49.2%
P2
46.4%
45.0%
P3
41.9%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |