Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McLeod
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs McLeod 63.0% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 87.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 71.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Mittelstadt
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Mittelstadt
McLeod
Last 9: Mittelstadt 3-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Mittelstadt
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
64.8% (509)
-18.4%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
68.4% (19)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
65.3% (124)
-15.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McLeod
Home
47.7% (583)
64.3% (308)
Away
46.4% (541)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McLeod
P1
50.0%
62.9%
P2
46.2%
64.8%
P3
45.5%
67.9%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |