Casey Mittelstadt vs Nolan Patrick
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Patrick 52.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 57.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Last 6: Mittelstadt 2-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Mittelstadt
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Mittelstadt
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
51.2% (371)
-5.1%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
62.2% (37)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Mittelstadt is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Home
47.3% (224)
48.5% (231)
Away
50.7% (217)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Patrick
P1
51.8%
52.0%
P2
51.0%
52.3%
P3
44.9%
53.2%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |