Casey Mittelstadt vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Patrick 51.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 65.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
3
Mittelstadt
Patrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
4
Mittelstadt
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
50.6% (1,978)
-5.6%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
57.5% (120)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
57.7% (26)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Patrick
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Patrick
P1
46.8%
52.9%
P2
46.1%
49.1%
P3
44.0%
51.3%
OT
36.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |