Casey Mittelstadt vs Phillip Danault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Danault 52.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 52.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 80.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 68.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Mittelstadt
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Mittelstadt
Danault
Last 9: Mittelstadt 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Mittelstadt
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
2
Mittelstadt
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
52.4% (958)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
62.0% (71)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.6% (187)
-7.6%
On power play, Danault has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Danault
Home
46.0% (491)
51.2% (605)
Away
42.4% (512)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Danault
P1
44.0%
53.1%
P2
46.4%
49.8%
P3
41.9%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |