Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Poehling 48.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 71.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Mittelstadt
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
5
Mittelstadt
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
49.4% (2,726)
-4.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
51.6% (93)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
41.6% (623)
-4.1%
On even strength, Poehling has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Poehling
P1
46.8%
50.9%
P2
46.1%
47.0%
P3
44.0%
46.9%
OT
36.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |