Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Poehling
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.3%). Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Poehling 46.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 71.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Last 7: Mittelstadt 3-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Mittelstadt
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
46.5% (269)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
66.7% (3)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
42.4% (139)
-1.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Home
45.1% (366)
45.2% (177)
Away
46.8% (370)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Poehling
P1
41.1%
47.7%
P2
51.1%
44.4%
P3
45.9%
44.6%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |