Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Poehling

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.3%). Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Poehling 46.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 77.6%
Defensive zone Poehling 71.9%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 52.4%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Mittelstadt Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Mittelstadt Poehling
Last 7: Mittelstadt 3-4 Poehling

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Mittelstadt Poehling
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
46.5% (269)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
66.7% (3)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
42.4% (139)
-1.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +17.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Poehling
Home
45.1% (366)
45.2% (177)
Away
46.8% (370)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Poehling
P1
41.1%
47.7%
P2
51.1%
44.4%
P3
45.9%
44.6%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
42.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
45.9%
Poehling
58.0%
48.5%
45.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 2, 2022 3 19:53 Neutral Ryan Poehling
Nov 2, 2022 3 17:24 Defensive Casey Mittelstadt
Nov 2, 2022 3 01:54 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Nov 2, 2022 2 16:53 Defensive Ryan Poehling
Nov 2, 2022 2 12:26 Offensive Ryan Poehling
Nov 2, 2022 1 19:14 Neutral Ryan Poehling
Nov 2, 2022 1 05:00 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt