Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Couturier 53.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 76.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
52.6% (624)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
66.7% (66)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.2% (188)
+46.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Home
60.7% (89)
50.7% (424)
Away
43.1% (65)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Couturier
P1
46.3%
55.5%
P2
52.9%
51.7%
P3
58.6%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |