Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 83.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
53.4% (758)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
62.9% (70)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.7% (227)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Couturier
Home
59.3% (91)
50.7% (517)
Away
42.5% (80)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Couturier
P1
48.8%
55.2%
P2
49.1%
53.0%
P3
56.7%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |