Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Nosek 53.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 64.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 66.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Last 5: Mittelstadt 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
55.1% (557)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
50.0% (4)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
47.7% (111)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Home
47.2% (193)
52.3% (342)
Away
42.9% (259)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nosek
P1
49.0%
49.0%
P2
45.7%
53.8%
P3
38.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |