Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Angle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Angle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Angle 49.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.3%
Defensive zone
Angle 52.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 58.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
Angle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mittelstadt
Angle
Last 5: Mittelstadt 2-3 Angle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Angle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Angle
1
3
Mittelstadt
Angle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Angle
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
44.4% (18)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Angle shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Angle is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Angle
Home
45.1% (366)
44.4% (18)
Away
46.8% (370)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Angle
P1
41.1%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
42.9%
P3
45.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Angle
40.7%▬
40.7%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Tyler Angle |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Tyler Angle |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Tyler Angle |