Casey Mittelstadt vs Tyler Seguin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Seguin 51.8% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Mittelstadt
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
54.8% (135)
-10.1%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
58.3% (24)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
26.7% (15)
+13.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Home
46.0% (491)
47.4% (95)
Away
42.4% (512)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Seguin
P1
44.0%
50.8%
P2
46.4%
57.1%
P3
41.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |