Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Cave 48.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 72.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 63.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Paquette
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paquette
Cave
Last 5: Paquette 4-1 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Cave
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Cave
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
48.5% (66)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
100.0% (1)
-41.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
30.0% (10)
+16.7%
On power play, Cave has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Paquette shoots left. Cave is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Paquette
Cave
Home
51.9% (339)
45.5% (44)
Away
49.6% (282)
48.5% (33)
By Period
Paquette
Cave
P1
52.7%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
34.5%
P3
47.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |