Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Cave 49.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cave 57.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 51.6%
Neutral zone
Cave 53.2%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Paquette
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
Cave
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Cave
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Cave
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
0
1
Paquette
Cave
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
50.1% (445)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
41.7% (12)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
41.9% (43)
+0.6%
On power play, Paquette has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Paquette
Cave
Home
50.2% (1,541)
46.8% (233)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
51.3% (267)
By Period
Paquette
Cave
P1
49.1%
46.3%
P2
49.9%
48.3%
P3
47.5%
53.7%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Colby Cave |