Cedric Paquette vs Connor McDavid
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs McDavid 49.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 55.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 69.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 60.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Paquette
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
McDavid
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Paquette
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (64)
49.1% (621)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
0.0% (3)
+63.6%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Paquette is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Paquette shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Paquette
McDavid
Home
41.7% (48)
56.1% (330)
Away
48.1% (27)
42.5% (308)
By Period
Paquette
McDavid
P1
30.8%
49.2%
P2
60.0%
47.4%
P3
41.7%
53.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |