Cedric Paquette vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 70.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Paquette
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Paquette
McDavid
Last 5: Paquette 1-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Paquette
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
47.7% (8,358)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
52.0% (371)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
43.4% (279)
-0.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Paquette
McDavid
Home
50.2% (1,541)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Paquette
McDavid
P1
49.1%
46.5%
P2
49.9%
48.7%
P3
47.5%
48.3%
OT
20.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |