Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 90.2%
Defensive zone
Paquette 86.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 90.7%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Paquette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Paquette
Ryan
Last 10: Paquette 0-10 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
8
Paquette
Ryan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
2
Paquette
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
7
Paquette
Ryan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
56.6% (4,102)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
53.2% (342)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
47.8% (649)
-5.3%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Paquette
Ryan
Home
50.2% (1,541)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Paquette
Ryan
P1
49.1%
55.1%
P2
49.9%
54.7%
P3
47.5%
56.0%
OT
20.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |