Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +26.1% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Ryan 54.9% (-26.1%)
Offensive zone
Paquette 52.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Paquette
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
60.2% (387)
-30.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
43.2% (118)
-16.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Paquette
Ryan
Home
28.1% (32)
56.7% (254)
Away
30.6% (72)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Paquette
Ryan
P1
36.4%
56.9%
P2
27.9%
51.7%
P3
25.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
30.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%