Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Ryan 57.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 79.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 84.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 80.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Paquette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Paquette
Ryan
Last 6: Paquette 0-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Paquette
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Paquette
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
59.1% (594)
-4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
49.1% (55)
+50.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
57.9% (107)
-17.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Paquette
Ryan
Home
53.3% (428)
57.0% (398)
Away
51.8% (340)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Paquette
Ryan
P1
54.4%
56.2%
P2
53.0%
56.9%
P3
50.6%
61.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |