Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Stepan 44.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 66.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 60.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Paquette
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Paquette
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
43.5% (942)
+1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
48.1% (162)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
43.0% (128)
+15.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Paquette is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Paquette shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Paquette
Stepan
Home
51.0% (98)
45.6% (629)
Away
45.3% (137)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Paquette
Stepan
P1
44.1%
44.7%
P2
51.2%
43.7%
P3
46.8%
43.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2014 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |