Cedric Paquette vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Stepan 46.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 64.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Paquette
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Paquette
Stepan
Last 10: Paquette 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Paquette
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
3
Paquette
Stepan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Paquette
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
46.5% (10,204)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
48.8% (1,593)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
44.2% (1,368)
-1.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Paquette
Stepan
Home
50.2% (1,541)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Paquette
Stepan
P1
49.1%
47.5%
P2
49.9%
45.6%
P3
47.5%
46.8%
OT
20.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 17, 2014 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |