Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs McKegg 50.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 55.6%
Defensive zone
Paquette 80.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 54.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Paquette
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
McKegg
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
McKegg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
51.6% (281)
+2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
0.0% (1)
+40.2%
On power play, Paquette has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Paquette
McKegg
Home
53.3% (428)
51.1% (133)
Away
51.8% (340)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Paquette
McKegg
P1
54.4%
48.9%
P2
53.0%
48.9%
P3
50.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |