Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs McKegg 49.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 61.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 51.5%
Neutral zone
McKegg 56.3%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Paquette
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Paquette
McKegg
Last 10: Paquette 7-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
McKegg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
McKegg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
2
Paquette
McKegg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
49.1% (1,143)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.0% (24)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
48.8% (86)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Paquette
McKegg
Home
50.2% (1,541)
50.4% (554)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Paquette
McKegg
P1
49.1%
48.7%
P2
49.9%
49.9%
P3
47.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |