Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
McBain 51.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 56.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 50.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Paquette
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
48.0% (2,298)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
49.0% (51)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
35.7% (308)
+6.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Paquette
McBain
Home
50.2% (1,541)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Paquette
McBain
P1
49.1%
46.7%
P2
49.9%
47.5%
P3
47.5%
45.6%
OT
20.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%