Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs McBain 41.9% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
McBain 50.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 56.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Paquette
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
37.2% (86)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
17.6% (17)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Paquette
McBain
Home
28.1% (32)
33.8% (68)
Away
30.6% (72)
34.3% (35)
By Period
Paquette
McBain
P1
36.4%
40.6%
P2
27.9%
40.5%
P3
25.0%
20.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%