Cedric Paquette vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 69.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 90.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 78.2%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Paquette
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Paquette
Spezza
Last 10: Paquette 1-9 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
10
Paquette
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
8
5
Paquette
Spezza
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Paquette
Spezza
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
54.4% (7,990)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
52.7% (643)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Paquette
Spezza
Home
50.2% (1,541)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Paquette
Spezza
P1
49.1%
55.7%
P2
49.9%
54.4%
P3
47.5%
54.1%
OT
20.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |