Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 74.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 81.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 74.2%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Paquette
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Paquette
Carter
Last 10: Paquette 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Paquette
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
8
3
Paquette
Carter
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
10
Paquette
Carter
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
46.3% (1,087)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Paquette
Carter
Home
50.2% (1,541)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Paquette
Carter
P1
49.1%
53.6%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
47.5%
53.1%
OT
20.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |