Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +27.2% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Carter 56.4% (-27.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 79.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 75.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 80.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Paquette
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Paquette
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Paquette
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Paquette
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
57.9% (885)
-27.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.7% (133)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
45.4% (119)
-18.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Paquette
Carter
Home
28.1% (32)
58.2% (543)
Away
30.6% (72)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Paquette
Carter
P1
36.4%
57.5%
P2
27.9%
57.1%
P3
25.0%
55.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |