Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.2%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Carter 51.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 60.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 66.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 63.4%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Paquette
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Paquette
Carter
Last 10: Paquette 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Paquette
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Paquette
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
52.2% (552)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
56.4% (94)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
41.0% (100)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Paquette
Carter
Home
51.9% (339)
51.2% (324)
Away
49.6% (282)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Paquette
Carter
P1
52.7%
49.8%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
47.1%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |