Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-22.7%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 52.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Paquette
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
52.5% (570)
-22.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.5% (145)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
44.4% (36)
-17.7%
On power play, Paquette has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Paquette
Pavelski
Home
28.1% (32)
55.0% (391)
Away
30.6% (72)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Paquette
Pavelski
P1
36.4%
50.8%
P2
27.9%
55.0%
P3
25.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%