Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +30.8% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-30.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 65.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 72.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Paquette
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Paquette
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Paquette
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Paquette
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
60.9% (1,043)
-30.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.4% (278)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
47.6% (21)
-20.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Paquette
Tavares
Home
28.1% (32)
63.5% (684)
Away
30.6% (72)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Paquette
Tavares
P1
36.4%
60.3%
P2
27.9%
60.4%
P3
25.0%
60.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |