Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Staal 58.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 88.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Paquette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Staal
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
1
Paquette
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Paquette
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
59.1% (888)
-10.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.9% (121)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
52.6% (156)
-17.6%
On power play, Staal has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Paquette
Staal
Home
42.3% (182)
61.2% (600)
Away
48.8% (252)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Paquette
Staal
P1
51.3%
57.5%
P2
46.1%
60.1%
P3
40.3%
59.1%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2017 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |