Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Staal 56.8% (-27.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 51.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Paquette
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paquette
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Paquette
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
58.9% (1,041)
-28.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.4% (73)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
49.1% (171)
-22.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Paquette
Staal
Home
28.1% (32)
59.0% (578)
Away
30.6% (72)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Paquette
Staal
P1
36.4%
57.1%
P2
27.9%
60.9%
P3
25.0%
55.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |