Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Hayes 47.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 64.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 52.7%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Paquette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Paquette
Hayes
Last 10: Paquette 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Paquette
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
1
Paquette
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
47.6% (6,698)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.7% (702)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
45.4% (696)
-2.9%
On power play, Paquette has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Home / Away
Paquette
Hayes
Home
50.2% (1,541)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Paquette
Hayes
P1
49.1%
47.5%
P2
49.9%
47.7%
P3
47.5%
47.9%
OT
20.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |