Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Hayes 43.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Paquette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paquette
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
42.7% (478)
-12.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (98)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
45.2% (31)
-18.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Paquette
Hayes
Home
28.1% (32)
43.5% (232)
Away
30.6% (72)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Paquette
Hayes
P1
36.4%
40.1%
P2
27.9%
44.8%
P3
25.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
30.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |