Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Cullen 53.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 56.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 58.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Paquette
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Paquette
Cullen
Last 10: Paquette 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
2
Paquette
Cullen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Paquette
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Paquette
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
54.8% (5,371)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
52.3% (421)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
48.0% (953)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Paquette
Cullen
Home
50.2% (1,541)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Paquette
Cullen
P1
49.1%
54.7%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
47.5%
53.3%
OT
20.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |