Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Thompson 54.3% (-25.9%)
Offensive zone
Paquette 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Paquette
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
55.5% (236)
-25.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.0% (5)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
56.5% (46)
-29.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Paquette
Thompson
Home
28.1% (32)
53.1% (128)
Away
30.6% (72)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Paquette
Thompson
P1
36.4%
59.0%
P2
27.9%
55.4%
P3
25.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%