Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Bonino 48.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 56.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 55.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 51.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Paquette
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Bonino
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Paquette
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
48.7% (917)
+0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.2% (94)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
42.1% (202)
-7.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bonino
Home
42.3% (182)
51.0% (629)
Away
48.8% (252)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Paquette
Bonino
P1
51.3%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
45.4%
P3
40.3%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
41.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |