Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 59.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 63.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Paquette
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Paquette
Bonino
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Paquette
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Paquette
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
6
Paquette
Bonino
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
54.1% (972)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
44.6% (1,693)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Paquette
Bonino
Home
50.2% (1,541)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Paquette
Bonino
P1
49.1%
50.6%
P2
49.9%
48.5%
P3
47.5%
51.1%
OT
20.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |