Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Greig 48.8% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Paquette 51.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 52.0%
Neutral zone
Paquette 53.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Paquette
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
48.5% (1,133)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
56.8% (74)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
46.5% (172)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Paquette
Greig
Home
50.2% (1,541)
49.8% (681)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Paquette
Greig
P1
49.1%
46.3%
P2
49.9%
51.2%
P3
47.5%
48.8%
OT
20.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%