Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 51.2% vs Johansen 52.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Paquette
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
Johansen
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Paquette
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
0
Paquette
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (22)
52.5% (1,002)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
49.5% (111)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Paquette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Paquette shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Paquette
Johansen
Home
64.3% (14)
54.7% (632)
Away
46.7% (15)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Paquette
Johansen
P1
50.0%
54.3%
P2
42.9%
53.5%
P3
64.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
55.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |