Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +22.8% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (-22.8%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 51.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Paquette
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
49.4% (1,010)
-19.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.3% (236)
+37.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
67.2% (67)
-40.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Paquette
Johansen
Home
28.1% (32)
54.7% (655)
Away
30.6% (72)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Paquette
Johansen
P1
36.4%
52.2%
P2
27.9%
50.7%
P3
25.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%