Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Johansen 52.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 64.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Paquette
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Paquette
Johansen
Last 6: Paquette 5-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
51.9% (1,006)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
56.0% (207)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
42.4% (33)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Paquette is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Paquette shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Paquette
Johansen
Home
52.1% (167)
56.4% (633)
Away
46.6% (116)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Paquette
Johansen
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
51.0%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |