Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 84.6%
Defensive zone
Paquette 81.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 82.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Paquette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Paquette
Kesler
Last 7: Paquette 1-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Paquette
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Paquette
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
57.6% (1,225)
-8.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
63.5% (263)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
51.5% (305)
-16.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Paquette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Paquette shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kesler
Home
42.3% (182)
59.1% (881)
Away
48.8% (252)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Paquette
Kesler
P1
51.3%
56.6%
P2
46.1%
58.2%
P3
40.3%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |